Mount Elbrus, Russia

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6 Day Forecast (free) top: 5642m mid: 4422m bot: 3203m	2 Day Detail (subscribers) top: 5642m mid: 4422m bot: 3203m	9 Day Forecast (subscribers) top: 5642m mid: 4422m bot: 3203m	Piste Map	Weather Maps	Snowfinder

6 Day Weather Forecast for 3203 m altitude, issued (local time): 02 am 24 Jul 2008

	Days 0-3 Mount Elbrus Weather Summary: Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 5°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.									Days 4-6 Mount Elbrus Weather Summary: Light rain (total 3.0mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon . Very mild (max 11°C on Sun morning, min 2°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.
	Thu 24 morn- ing	Thu 24 after- noon	Thu 24 night	Fri 25 morn- ing	Fri 25 after- noon	Fri 25 night	Sat 26 morn- ing	Sat 26 after- noon	Sat 26 night	Sun 27 morn- ing	Sun 27 after- noon	Sun 27 night	Mon 28 morn- ing	Mon 28 after- noon	Mon 28 night	Tue 29 morn- ing	Tue 29 after- noon	Tue 29 night
Wind (km/h)
Summary	clear	clear	clear	clear	some clouds	clear	some clouds	some clouds	clear	clear	rain shwrs	clear	clear	rain shwrs	clear	clear	some clouds	some clouds
Snow cm	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Rain mm	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1	-	-	-	-
Max °C	10	11	8	13	13	6	13	13	7	11	10	5	10	9	4	8	8	5
Min °C	9	10	6	11	11	5	12	11	5	10	9	4	9	8	2	7	5	4
WChill °C	7	9	5	10	10	5	11	10	3	9	8	1	7	5	-3	4	3	2
Freezing level (m)	4600	4700	4800	4900	5000	4900	4900	4950	4900	4600	4650	4650	4450	4550	4350	4250	4350	4200
Sunrise	4:52	-	-	4:52	-	-	4:54	-	-	4:54	-	-	4:56	-	-	4:56	-	-
Sunset	-	19:40	-	-	19:39	-	-	19:38	-	-	19:37	-	-	19:37	-	-	19:36	-

The above table gives the weather forecast for Mount Elbrus at the specific elevation of 3203 m. Our sophisticated weather models allow us to provide snow forecasts for the top, middle and bottom stations of Mount Elbrus. To access the weather forecasts for the other elevations, use the tab navigation above the table. For a wider view of the weather, check out the Weather Map" of Russia (Russian Federation).

NOTE ABOUT FREEZING LEVELS AND TEMPERATURES
The freezing level that we forecast Mount Elbrus is the  free air freezing level. (More specifically, it is the uppermost free air freezing level). This means that all of the air above this elevation is below freezing however it does not necessarily imply that all of the air below it is above freezing.  We provide this because it best describes the level where falling snow first starts to turn to rain. On average, snowflakes only stay frozen for about 100 metres (300 feet) below the free air freezing level. That's because air temperatures usually increase steadily as you descend - but not always.  For example, a temperature inversion describes a pool of cold air near the ground with a layer of warmer air above it. This is a common occurrence in winter when the wind is light. Such pools of dense cold air can vary from a few metres to several kilometres deep and can persist from hours to several weeks. In an inversion, it can be simultaneously below freezing in a mountain valley, and also at a nearby summit, yet above freezing at some elevation in between. Most visitors to the Alps are very familiar with this. Such conditions can allow snow to fall much more than the usual 100 metres below the top freezing level, even reaching the valley, just as long as snow did not pass through enough warm air to melt. Otherwise, freezing rain or re-frozen soft hail (there is even a German word for it - graupel) reaches the valley instead. Our forecasts allow for these possibilities which is why you may see forecasts of snowfall and frost at elevations far below the free-air freezing level, or valley temperatures that are lower than summit temperatures. You may even see forecasts of rain to fall even though it is just below freezing at the surface - that happens if our model predicts that there is a deep warm layer just above. None of these are as contradictory as they may seem at first.

All of our temperature forecasts for Mount Elbrus are for the ground, not the air. These can be very different to free-air temperatures, especially at night. This can lead to what looks like a contradiction. Because the ground is such a good radiator of heat (especially on clear nights when there is a snow cover and the wind is light) surface temperatures often fall more than far below the free air temperatures - sometimes by more than 10 degrees. On such occasions, the snowpack freezes at elevations that are far below the free air freezing level. For example, in the European Alps, snow tends to freeze in valleys on still clear and still nights  even if the free air freezing level is above 3000m simply because snow is so efficient radiating its heat away. In reality there are two freezing levels; one just above the snow surface and another at 3000m with a layer of warmer temperatures in between where the snow may not freeze at all. In summary, the reason we provide surface temperatures is because these determine the condition of the snowpack.

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