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Kerlingarfjöll, Iceland

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6 Day Forecast
(free)
top: 1150m
mid: 1025m
bot: 900m
2 Day Detail
(subscribers)
top: 1150m
mid: 1025m
bot: 900m
9 Day Forecast
(subscribers)
top: 1150m
mid: 1025m
bot: 900m
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Printable Forecast
6 Day Weather Forecast for 1025 m altitude, issued (local time): 05 am 17 May 2008
  Days 0-3 Kerlingarfjöll Weather Summary: A light covering of new snow mostly falling on Mon night. Temperatures will be below freezing (max 0°C on Sun morning, min -2°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. Days 4-6 Kerlingarfjöll Weather Summary: A light covering of new snow mostly falling on Tue night. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 4°C on Thu afternoon, min -2°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue morning, strong winds from the SE by Wed night).
Sat
17
morn-
ing
Sat
17
after-
noon
Sat
17
night
Sun
18
morn-
ing
Sun
18
after-
noon
Sun
18
night
Mon
19
morn-
ing
Mon
19
after-
noon
Mon
19
night
Tue
20
morn-
ing
Tue
20
after-
noon
Tue
20
night
Wed
21
morn-
ing
Wed
21
after-
noon
Wed
21
night
Thu
22
morn-
ing
Thu
22
after-
noon
Thu
22
night
 
Wind (km/h)
Summary light snow light snow light snow light snow light snow light snow light snow light snow light snow some clouds snow shwrs light snow light snow light snow light snow cloudy cloudy cloudy
Snow cm 1 1 1 - - 2 1 1 3 - 1 4 - 2 2 - - -
Rain mm - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Max °C -1 -1 -1 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 -1 0 0 0 3 4 2
Min °C -1 -1 -2 -1 0 -2 -1 -1 -2 -2 0 -1 0 0 -1 1 3 1
WChill °C -4 -3 -2 -3 -3 -6 -5 -5 -5 -5 -4 -7 -7 -6 -8 -6 -3 -6
Freezing level (m) 1100 1100 1000 900 1000 1000 850 950 900 850 1100 1250 1300 1250 1200 1650 1750 1650
Sunrise 3:45 - - 3:41 - - 3:38 - - 3:34 - - 3:31 - - 3:28 - -
Sunset - 22:45 - - 22:49 - - 22:52 - - 22:55 - - 22:59 - - 23:02 -

The above table gives the weather forecast for Kerlingarfjöll at the specific elevation of 1025m. Our sophisticated weather models allow us to provide snow forecasts for the top, middle and bottom stations of Kerlingarfjöll. To access the weather forecasts for the other elevations, use the tab navigation above the table. For a wider view of the weather, check out the Weather Map of Iceland.

NOTE ABOUT FREEZING LEVELS AND TEMPERATURES
The freezing level that we forecast Kerlingarfjöll is the  free air freezing level. (More specifically, it is the uppermost free air freezing level). This means that all of the air above this elevation is below freezing however it does not necessarily imply that all of the air below it is above freezing.  We provide this because it best describes the level where falling snow first starts to turn to rain. On average, snowflakes only stay frozen for about 100 metres (300 feet) below the free air freezing level. That's because air temperatures usually increase steadily as you descend - but not always.  For example, a temperature inversion describes a pool of cold air near the ground with a layer of warmer air above it. This is a common occurrence in winter when the wind is light. Such pools of dense cold air can vary from a few metres to several kilometres deep and can persist from hours to several weeks. In an inversion, it can be simultaneously below freezing in a mountain valley, and also at a nearby summit, yet above freezing at some elevation in between. Most visitors to the Alps are very familiar with this. Such conditions can allow snow to fall much more than the usual 100 metres below the top freezing level, even reaching the valley, just as long as snow did not pass through enough warm air to melt. Otherwise, freezing rain or re-frozen soft hail (there is even a German word for it - graupel) reaches the valley instead. Our forecasts allow for these possibilities which is why you may see forecasts of snowfall and frost at elevations far below the free-air freezing level, or valley temperatures that are lower than summit temperatures. You may even see forecasts of rain to fall even though it is just below freezing at the surface - that happens if our model predicts that there is a deep warm layer just above. None of these are as contradictory as they may seem at first.

All of our temperature forecasts for Kerlingarfjöll are for the ground, not the air. These can be very different to free-air temperatures, especially at night. This can lead to what looks like a contradiction. Because the ground is such a good radiator of heat (especially on clear nights when there is a snow cover and the wind is light) surface temperatures often fall more than far below the free air temperatures - sometimes by more than 10 degrees. On such occasions, the snowpack freezes at elevations that are far below the free air freezing level. For example, in the European Alps, snow tends to freeze in valleys on still clear and still nights  even if the free air freezing level is above 3000m simply because snow is so efficient radiating its heat away. In reality there are two freezing levels; one just above the snow surface and another at 3000m with a layer of warmer temperatures in between where the snow may not freeze at all. In summary, the reason we provide surface temperatures isbecause these determine the condition of the snowpack.


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